24-25

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Mon Dec 16, 2024

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Today human-triggered avalanches are likely, especially where strong wind has drifted snow into stiffer or deeper </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>wind slabs</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>, and where more snow falls and is drifted today. On non-wind loaded slopes avalanches are possible, as indicated by widespread avalanche activity yesterday, and due to the existence of buried weak layers.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Yesterday avalanches were triggered by skiers and broke naturally, with reports from all corners of our forecast area (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/avalanche-activity"><span><span><span><stro… activity page</span></span></u></span></strong></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>). Notably, skiers in the Bridgers (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/32452"><span><span><span><strong><span…;), Cooke City (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/32449"><span><span><span><strong><span…;), and Beehive (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/24/storm-instabilities-middle-basin"…;), and a rider between West Yellowstone and Island Park (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/32430"><span><span><span><strong><span…;), triggered avalanches from lower angle terrain below or adjacent to steeper slopes. A large natural avalanche was heard pouring over the cliffs on Saddle Peak in the Bridger Range as heavy snowfall peaked midday.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>The slide near West Yellowstone and Island Park broke on surface hoar below the recent snow, while some slides were reported breaking within yesterday’s storm snow. Prior to yesterday’s snowfall weak layers were generally widespread, either on the snow surface or buried 4-12” deep (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/24/buried-surface-hoar-midway-republ… City photo</span></span></u></span></strong></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>, </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CCd4OIw-4IU&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvToI_ir… Fork video</span></span></u></span></strong></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>). These weak layers can cause </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>persistent slab avalanches</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> which will be wider, and possible to trigger from lower angle terrain, making them more dangerous and potentially surprising.&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>With more snow and moderate winds today, anticipate the size and distribution of potential avalanches to increase through the day. Heavy snowfall, or winds visibly drifting snow, are signs that stability may be getting worse.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Today, cautious route finding is essential. Avoid wind-loaded slopes steeper than 30 degrees. If you travel across or below any steep slopes carefully evaluate the terrain and snowpack for avalanche potential and consequences of a slide.&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE on wind-loaded slopes and MODERATE on non-wind loaded slopes.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

Upcoming Avalanche Education and Events

Our education calendar is full of awareness lectures and field courses. Check it out: Events and Education Calendar

ECT-P-5 on Blackmore

Date
Activity
Skiing

Headed up Blackmore Sunday 12/15, late morning, was pleasantly surprised by the amount of new snow. Not sure how much was brand new, but up below the summit seemed like about a foot of fresh. Skinned to the ridge above the east face, plenty of wind at the ridge, dug a out on the east slope just below the ridge a bit north of where most people ski down in snow that was not wind affected. Isolated column test clearly showed a weak bond between new snow and old, decisive ECT-P 5 on the extended column test. Skied the trees out.

Region
Northern Gallatin
Location (from list)
Mt Blackmore

New snow avalanche in Hyalite east fork

Hyalite - East Fork
Northern Gallatin
Code
SS-R1-D1-S
Aspect Range
E-NE
Notes

from @brendan_durrum_photo

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Soft slab avalanche
R size
1
D size
1
Bed Surface
S - Avalanche released within new snow
Problem Type
New Snow
Slab Thickness
6.0 inches
Vertical Fall
30ft
Slab Width
50.00ft
Slab Thickness units
inches
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year

Skier triggered slide at The Throne

The Throne
Bridger Range
Code
SS-ASu-R3-D2-S
Aspect
NE
Latitude
45.88220
Longitude
-110.95200
Notes

From IG: "Storm slab broke about 200’ above us as skinning up the hallway coming from the north side on the throne." 

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Soft slab avalanche
Trigger
Skier
Trigger Modifier
u-An unintentional release
R size
3
D size
2
Bed Surface
S - Avalanche released within new snow
Problem Type
Storm Slab
Snow Observation Source
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year

ECT / CT - Northern Gallatin

Date
Activity
Snowmobiling

On our first column test was CTX and slid on the saw cut, in the video we didn’t get the same result but still very reactive.
 

During our extended column test we were at 9500ft on a North slope. 

ECTN second tap storm slab 

ECTN twenty three on ground facets 

Region
Northern Gallatin
Location (from list)
Portal Creek
Observer Name
Parkin Costain