24-25
Thin snowpack and poor test on Bacon Rind
Surprisingly shallow snow pack on the upper parts of Bacon Rind. South of Skillet area in the meadows. 2-3 foot depth max at 8800 on a SE aspect. 10+ inches of newer snow on top of a well developed surface hoar. A semi-supportable crust below that with facets to the bottom. ECTP 11 really surprised us, failing on the surface hoar. Challenging skiing staying on top and did some base damage on rocks even up high. Log jam roller coaster back down to the car. Still a fun outing. Send us snow! And keep up the good work!
Weak Snow at Lionhead
We rode up Denny Creek to the local's route. Coverage was thin, but passable as we left the Denny and worked up through the trees. The trail hadn't been set in yet this season. We didn't go far once we arrived in the openings below the ridge because visibility was poor. No avalanches or red flags for instability observed (but poor visibility).
The snowpack was weaker than everywhere else Alex and I have been this year. The snowpack remains thin (60-80 cm). The post-Thanksgiving dry spell resulted in a well-defined layer of surface hoar and near surface facets. Below that the base of the snowpack transitioned to large grain sugary facets and depth hoar. Resting on all this weak snow was a cohesive slab. In the non-wind-loaded terrain where we rode, the snowpack seemed to have adjusted to the current load (ECTNs in the high teens to 20s, PST 30/100 arrest). However, new or wind-drifted snow would upset this delicate balance. We avoided wind-loaded terrain where avalanches would be most likely, though this was partially because our planned route simply didn't intersect with commonly wind-loaded slopes.
While snowpack tests were not propagating failure today, just a few inches of snow (over 0.3" SWE) would change the picture. The danger would increase and collapsing and human-triggered avalanches would become likely.
On the drive we saw one small wind slab in Yellowstone that looked 1-3 days old (photo attached).
Visibility improved on the drive back, with high clouds, and we looked towards Lionhead with Binoculars from the highway and did not see any avalanches.
Propagation in ECTs, Rob's Knob
Snow surface soft with ~3" of new, mod-strong SW winds at 11am
Reactive tests in snowpits with low to moderate ECTP scores. HS 105, NE aspects at 9480'.
Experienced collapsing on the north end of Rob's, likely failing on buried surface hoar that was evident in pit.
Collapsing / Poor stability test scores, West Henderson
We toured above 9000' on a W to SW aspects on Henderson Mtn. We experienced several collapses and had propagation in multiple ECTs performed. HS varies between 85-105cm. Snowpilot pit is from 9820' W aspect, photo from 9940': both with ECTP results.
Snow surface variable with wind boards and radiation crusts, mixed with soft snow in shaded aspects.
GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Sun Dec 22, 2024
<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Today a person can trigger large </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>persistent slab avalanches </span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>that break on weak layers buried in the middle of the snowpack or near the ground. These persistent slab avalanches have become less likely since snowfall and strong winds ended late Wednesday, but the potential size and consequences remain large.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>During the first half of this week strong winds drifted new snow into thick, heavy slabs (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w-aXzlPHrYA"><span><span><span><strong>… video</span></span></u></span></strong></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>). On Wednesday there were multiple large natural avalanches near Cooke City (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zCdhitUHk1o"><span><span><span><strong>…;, </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/24/large-persistent-slab-avalanche-h… photo</span></span></u></span></strong></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>, </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/24/persistent-slab-avalanche-fisher"… photo</span></span></u></span></strong></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>), and an avalanche on Saddle Peak broke 1-3 feet deep (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/32548"><span><span><span><strong><span…;). On Tuesday Ian triggered an avalanche remotely (from lower angle terrain nearby) on Buck Ridge near Big Sky (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/32497"><span><span><span><strong><span…;), and on Friday a skier had a large collapse in the Bridger Range (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/32582"><span><span><span><strong><span…;). </span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Choose small, simple, non-wind-loaded slopes with clean runouts free of hazards like rocks, trees or cliffs. If you have any doubts about snowpack stability avoid slopes steeper than 30 degrees and be cautious of runout zones below. </span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Yesterday on Buck Ridge a snowmobiler triggered a 12” deep</span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span> </span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>wind slab avalanche (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/32601"><span><span><span><strong><span…;). Strong winds last night might have formed fresh </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>wind slabs</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>, and a few potentially unstable drifts could remain from earlier in the week. Look for signs of wind-drifted snow and be cautious of wind-loaded slopes, especially where consequences of a slide are higher due to terrain traps. </span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Carefully and continuously assess the snowpack and terrain for avalanche potential, and travel one person at a time on steep slopes or through runouts. The avalanche danger is MODERATE.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
Upcoming Avalanche Education and Events
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Snowmobiler triggered wind slab on Buck Ridge
From email: "Rode buck today. It was very windy this week. Open areas are quite scoured, but there are still great stashes to be found if you hunt around. We triggered a 12" soft wind slab on a NE facing slope at 9.5k'."
Blue Creek snowpack
ECTP 15 75cm up from ground. HS90-110 9000ft SE aspect. Down 1000 feet similar aspect we also got propagation up 23cm with a HS of 55cm. Photo from the 9000ft pit.
There was some natural avalanche activity on the peak south of mt Bole. Photo: Anonymous
Forecast link: GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Sun Dec 22, 2024