Around 7 p.m. Monday night, a few miles up Portal Creek, triggered from bottom of slope.
24-25
Remotely Triggered slides in Portal Creek
Around 7 p.m. Monday night, a few miles up Portal Creek, triggered from bottom of slope.
GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Wed Jan 1, 2025
<p><span><span><span><strong><span><span>3-day storm total</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> for the Bridger Range is </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>34.75 inches of snow (2.45 inches of SWE)</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>. There is simply a lot of new snow that added a lot of weight and STRESS to the snowpack which needs time to adjust to this rapid change. How much weight? The new snow over an area the size of a football field weighs over 600,000 pounds.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span><strong><span><span>During the storm</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> there were many storm slab avalanches breaking within the new snow including one that caught and carried a skier in </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/33144"><span><span><span><span><span><… Meadow on Monday</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>. There easily could have been bigger avalanches but they would have been hard to see due to heavy snowfall and poor visibility. </span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>In the long run, the snowpack will become stronger (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ogI1xknwVBM"><span><span><span><span><s…’s video from yesterday</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>), but today I would not be surprised to hear of a </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>large persistent slab avalanche</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>. I’m unsure of the likelihood of triggering a slide, but I am sure that for today these are </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>dangerous avalanche conditions</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> and the danger is CONSIDERABLE.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span><strong><span><span>Storm Totals from the Last Week: </span></span></strong></span></span></span></p>
<ul>
<li><span><span><span><span><span><span>Cooke City, Island Park and S. Madison Range: 22-25” of snow (2.5-2.9” SWE)</span></span></span></span></span></span></li>
<li><span><span><span><span><span><span>Lionhead, Northern Madison and Northern Gallatin Range: 21-25” of snow (1.8-2.4” SWE)</span></span></span></span></span></span></li>
</ul>
<p><span><span><span><strong><span><span>Persistent slab avalanches </span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>failing on buried weak layers 1-3 feet deep (deeper on wind-loaded slopes) are the main problem today. Two good examples from Monday are a natural avalanche near West Yellowstone </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/33148"><span><span><span><span><span><… Quake Lake</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span> and another on Henderson Mtn. near Cooke City (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/33139"><span><span><span><span><span><… report</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span> and </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/33160"><span><span><span><span><span><… profile</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>). Scroll through </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/snow-observations-list"><span><span><span><… observations</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span> to see other avalanches and reports.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span><strong><span><span>Heads up</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> - Increased winds this morning transporting snow as well as possible heavy snowfall mostly near Island Park and West Yellowstone will add to the danger. The most dangerous conditions are often the result of winds more than snowfall alone.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span><strong><span><span>What to do?</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> Conditions aren’t super sensitive which can lull you into a false sense of security because you may not immediately see signs of instability. I fell into this trap yesterday on Sawtelle Peak near Island Park, but then Ian and I walked across several southerly facing, low-angle slopes and </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/33167"><span><span><span><span><span><… about 4 rumbling collapses</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>. I’m optimistic about stability improving in the future but </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>remain skeptical for now</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>. The safest option is to ride slopes less than 30 degrees in steepness. The most dangerous choice and the most likely places to trigger an avalanche are slopes steeper than 30 degrees near and above treeline loaded by current or previous winds.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span><strong><span><span>Be cautious and conservative today</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> because avalanche conditions are dangerous and the danger is CONSIDERABLE. </span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
Upcoming Avalanche Education and Events
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There was a natural avalanche on the landslide face above quake lake. The avalanche failed on a weak layers near the ground and broke several hundred feet wide.
Natural Avalanche on 1st Yellowmule
The wind had definitely been moving things around, signs of decent loading and some avy activity today, kind of where I thought we’d find some action. See attached photos. Noticed a small 8-10” wind slab pocket on the way in, looked like storm load but could have been sled triggered from the top. Found a bigger pocket that had pulled out on steeper terrain in the 1st Yellow Mule no tracks around since we were the first in there. Both were N to NE facing which we had flagged for ourselves due to the wind direction during a post storm. We were suspect of the east side of the compass from north to south.
Found a bigger pocket that had pulled out on steeper terrain in the 1st Yellow Mule no tracks around since we were the first in there. Photo: Anonymous
Found a bigger pocket that had pulled out on steeper terrain in the 1st Yellow Mule no tracks around since we were the first in there. Photo: Anonymous
Forecast link: GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Wed Jan 1, 2025