24-25

Remotely Triggered slides in Portal Creek

Date
Activity
Snowmobiling

Around 7 p.m. Monday night, a few miles up Portal Creek, triggered from bottom of slope.

Region
Northern Gallatin
Location (from list)
Portal Creek
Observer Name
P. Costain via IG

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Wed Jan 1, 2025

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p><span><span><span><strong><span><span>3-day storm total</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> for the Bridger Range is </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>34.75 inches of snow (2.45 inches of SWE)</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>. There is simply a lot of new snow that added a lot of weight and STRESS to the snowpack which needs time to adjust to this rapid change. How much weight? The new snow over an area the size of a football field weighs over 600,000 pounds.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><strong><span><span>During the storm</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> there were many storm slab avalanches breaking within the new snow including one that caught and carried a skier in </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/33144"><span><span><span><span><span><… Meadow on Monday</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>. There easily could have been bigger avalanches but they would have been hard to see due to heavy snowfall and poor visibility.&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>In the long run, the snowpack will become stronger (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ogI1xknwVBM"><span><span><span><span><s…’s video from yesterday</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>), but today I would not be surprised to hear of a </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>large persistent slab avalanche</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>. I’m unsure of the likelihood of triggering a slide, but I am sure that for today these are </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>dangerous avalanche conditions</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> and the danger is CONSIDERABLE.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><strong><span><span>Storm Totals from the Last Week:&nbsp;</span></span></strong></span></span></span></p>

<ul>
<li><span><span><span><span><span><span>Cooke City, Island Park and S. Madison Range: 22-25” of snow (2.5-2.9” SWE)</span></span></span></span></span></span></li>
<li><span><span><span><span><span><span>Lionhead, Northern Madison and Northern Gallatin Range: 21-25” of snow (1.8-2.4” SWE)</span></span></span></span></span></span></li>
</ul>

<p><span><span><span><strong><span><span>Persistent slab avalanches </span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>failing on buried weak layers 1-3 feet deep (deeper on wind-loaded slopes) are the main problem today. Two good examples from Monday are a natural avalanche near West Yellowstone </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/33148"><span><span><span><span><span><… Quake Lake</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>&nbsp;and another on Henderson Mtn. near Cooke City (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/33139"><span><span><span><span><span><… report</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span> and </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/33160"><span><span><span><span><span><… profile</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>). Scroll through </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/snow-observations-list"><span><span><span><… observations</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span> to see other avalanches and reports.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><strong><span><span>Heads up</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> - Increased winds this morning transporting snow as well as possible heavy snowfall mostly near Island Park and West Yellowstone will add to the danger. The most dangerous conditions are often the result of winds more than snowfall alone.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><strong><span><span>What to do?</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> Conditions aren’t super sensitive which can lull you into a false sense of security because you may not immediately see signs of instability. I fell into this trap yesterday on Sawtelle Peak near Island Park, but then Ian and I walked across several southerly facing, low-angle slopes and </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/33167"><span><span><span><span><span><… about 4 rumbling collapses</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>. I’m optimistic about stability improving in the future but </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>remain skeptical for now</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>. The safest option is to ride slopes less than 30 degrees in steepness. The most dangerous choice and the most likely places to trigger an avalanche are slopes steeper than 30 degrees near and above treeline loaded by current or previous winds.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><strong><span><span>Be cautious and conservative today</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> because avalanche conditions are dangerous and the danger is CONSIDERABLE. </span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

Upcoming Avalanche Education and Events

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Natural Avalanche on 1st Yellowmule

Buck Ridge
Northern Madison
Code
SS-N-R1-D1.5
Aspect Range
N-NE
Latitude
45.17200
Longitude
-111.38500
Notes

The wind had definitely been moving things around, signs of decent loading and some avy activity today, kind of where I thought we’d find some action. See attached photos. Noticed a small 8-10” wind slab pocket on the way in, looked like storm load but could have been sled triggered from the top. Found a bigger pocket that had pulled out on steeper terrain in the 1st Yellow Mule no tracks around since we were the first in there. Both were N to NE facing which we had flagged for ourselves due to the wind direction during a post storm. We were suspect of the east side of the compass from north to south. 

Number of slides
2
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Soft slab avalanche
Trigger
Natural trigger
R size
1
D size
1.5
Problem Type
Persistent Weak Layer
Slab Thickness
30.0 inches
Vertical Fall
100ft
Slab Width
75.00ft
Snow Observation Source
Slab Thickness units
inches
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Multiple Avalanches
Advisory Year