GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Mon Apr 14, 2025
<p>Today, the 10” of recent snow in Cooke City will get hit by above-freezing temperatures and the powerful April sun for the first time. Natural and human-triggered <strong>wet loose avalanches are likely </strong>on steep slopes facing the southern half of the compass rose.<strong> </strong>These will start narrowly at a point and spread as they entrain this weekend’s snow. Rocks and cliff bands are common areas for these slides to start, and the underlying crusts make for slick sliding surfaces. These avalanches are most dangerous in steep and confined terrain where they don’t have room to spread out. Move to shadier and cooler north-facing aspects before the day’s warmth melts the surface snow. Cinnamon roll-like roller balls and small wet snow avalanches indicate that slopes are destabilizing rapidly.</p>
<p>Yesterday, ski guides in Cooke City noted numerous natural <strong>wind slab avalanches</strong> running long distances (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34907"><strong><span>observation</span…;). Strong winds during the weekend’s storm drifted snow into slabs two feet thick. Wind-loaded slopes are stabilizing, but some will still release under the weight of a skier or rider. Find better snow quality and safer conditions by looking for more sheltered terrain and avoiding the most heavily wind-loaded slopes below cornices.</p>
<p>Assess the stability of recent snow before considering skiing and riding steep terrain by watching for a moistening of the snow surface, obvious signs of instability and performing a quick extended column test down to the crust buried one to two feet deep.<span> </span></p>
<p><span>The danger in Cooke City is MODERATE for dry snow avalanches and will rise to CONSIDERABLE for wet snow slides.<span> </span></span></p>
<p>Cold temperatures refroze the snowpack and will delay the onset of wet snow instability in the Bridger, Gallatin, Madison, Lionhead and Centennial Ranges. As the day warms and the sun hits this weekend’s snow, there will be a few small <strong>wet loose avalanches</strong>, especially on rocky, south-facing slopes. With only a few inches of recent snow, these avalanches will only be a problem in very steep or extreme terrain where they could sweep a skier or rider off their feet, into obstacles and terrain traps. Redirect to cooler, northerly aspects if you observe pinwheels and small wet slides. Wet loose avalanches will be more significant in isolated areas in the upper reaches of the Northern Gallatin Range (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/weather/stations/shower-falls-snotel-site">… Falls SNOTEL</span></strong></a>), where more snow fell in the last few days.</p>
<p>Outside of very steep and extreme slopes with southern aspects, the snowpack is generally stable, and avalanches are unlikely. The avalanche danger is LOW.</p>
Weather and Avalanche Log for Mon Apr 14, 2025
Temps: Teens to low 20s F; 8 Degrees Lone Mountain Summit
Wind Slab Activity in Cooke City
I rode the motorized zone and noticed natural wind slab avalanches running pretty far on: East Henderson, SE Scotch Bonnet, East Miller, NE Crown Butte. D1.5-2.0
Loose wet debris from yesterday were also present in many places.
Wind Slab and Wet Loose Activity in Cooke City
I rode the motorized zone and noticed natural wind slab avalanches running pretty far on: East Henderson, SE Scotch Bonnet, East Miller, NE Crown Butte. D1.5-2.0
Loose wet debris from yesterday were also present in many places.
GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Sun Apr 13, 2025
<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Wild weather yesterday likely threw down some </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://avalanche.org/avalanche-encyclopedia/#graupel-rimed-particles">…; and other variations in the 10” of dense, new snow along with a </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/sites/default/files/snow_obs/2025-04/screen… of strong winds</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>. There are two avalanche problems to consider:</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span><strong><span><span>Storm slab avalanches</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> - I’m unsure how well the new snow is bonded to itself and the old snow surface, but it should be dense enough to be a cohesive slab. Assess the stability of the new snow before getting into steep terrain - get onto small steep test slopes, step and ride above your partners tracks, and perform </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://avalanche.org/avalanche-encyclopedia/#extended-column-test-ect"… ECT’s</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>. </span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span><strong><span><span>Wind slab avalanches</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> - Strong winds during the storm yesterday drifted the new snow and formed wind slabs that could be two feet thick. Look for places with fresh wind loading and ski or ride around those locations where there’s a good chance you’ll trigger a slide.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Today near Cooke City the avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE in any wind-loaded terrain with drifting from yesterday’s winds. Slopes untouched by yesterday’s winds have a MODERATE danger.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Cold temperatures have helped refreeze the snowpack ending wet snow problems. With minimal new snow there are minimal dry snow avalanche problems, but still watch out for shallow wind slabs that could sweep you off your feet. </span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Today the avalanche danger is LOW. For the few hardy folks venturing into out of the way places, watch out for isolated locations that may have received much higher snowfall amounts. Those places will have the danger and avalanche problems more similar to the Cooke City area.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
Weather and Avalanche Log for Sun Apr 13, 2025
Thunder and Lightning yesterday
Temps well below freezing this morning.
Screenshot of winds from Lulu Pass wind station during the storm.
Strong winds during storm in Cooke
Screenshot of winds from Lulu Pass wind station during the storm.
Weather and Avalanche Log for Sat Apr 12, 2025
Above freezing air temps and cloudy skies
GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Sat Apr 12, 2025
<p><span><span><span><strong><span><span>Wet loose avalanches</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> continue to be the main avalanche concern. The snowpack should be mostly wet this morning from above freezing overnight air temperatures and cloudy skies. Wet snow can even be found on north facing slopes except at the highest elevations. Without any sunshine today and cooling temperature this afternoon, I don’t expect much wet snow avalanche activity.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Look out for areas where the snowpack is especially wet and unsupportable like slopes that were in the sun yesterday - wet loose avalanches will be more likely in these areas. Places with more supportable snow will have the lowest likelihood for wet avalanches and better skiing and riding conditions.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span><strong><span><span>Wind slab avalanches</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> were an issue during the past week, but they have likely stabilized. Look out for a few shallow, new ones that may form late today with snow and increased winds.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span><strong><span><span>Large overhanging cornices</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> are always a concern, but more so with such warm temperatures. A local guide skiing near Cooke City yesterday </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34899"><span><span><span><span><span><… a large cornice fall midday</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>. Stay far back from the edge of corniced ridges, and move fast if you have to travel under them.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Avalanche conditions are generally safe but the snowpack hasn’t gotten a good refreeze, so the avalanche danger is MODERATE.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>